Khamenei’s confusion laid the foundation for the emergence of Pezeshkian!
In political regimes such as the Islamic Republic, the role of the religious leader is defined as a legal political and position a representative of the way and direction and guidance of followers and obedient believers. And a person like “Khamenei” in Iran or “Molahabtullah Akhundzadeh” in Afghanistan, based on the prophetic hadith, all of you are guardian and all of you would be questioned over his followers (each of you will be held accountable in front of the people who listen to you), the Imam of the Islamic community who in today’s world, it refers to Iran and Afghanistan, is responsible for answering the problems of the serfs or the believers in front of God. Of course, the fundamentalist Muslims in Iran are of the opinion that the believers (or serfs) do not have the right to choose the leader and they only discover him, and it is as if he was chosen by God or God’s guardian on earth, i.e. the Imam Zaman.
Statesmen and disciples of leaders such as “Khamenei” in Iran or “Mullah Hebatullah Akhundzadeh” in Afghanistan refer to these two leaders as the “salvage ship”, the center of gravity of existence, or the fans who consider themselves to be modern consider Khamenei as their flag bearer of Iran’s movement towards modernity and or the revival of Islamic civilization.
“Khamenei” was able to perform the same role until now. According to his fans, he has been a man with specific opinions, a manifestation of insight and the ability to think and produce thoughts and opinions, and for this reason, in the recent elections that were imposed on him and the Islamic system, he could not remain a herdsman (shepherd) of Hezbollah. that he wanted to indicate what they should do and the result was the victory of the reformers in the elections. In the previous elections, he indicated the leaders of the elections and the IRGC and Basij to mobilize a unified vote for a certain candidate. But this time, he was unable to do so because of his weakness, which came from several factions among the Hezbollah. It seems that the number of real and non-fraudulent participants is about 18 million and not 30 million, which is nearly 30% of the number of people who have the right to vote, and therefore even the elected Pezeshkian has about 16% of the people who have the right to vote in Iran, which indicates the lowest acceptability of the elected person among the holders of the right to vote among the elections of the Islamic regime.
Which made love easy at first, but problems fell.
I recently said in an article that these days are the worst days for Khamenei. Now he has no way but defend his alleged Islamic revolution from the Yemen pirates (Hutis), violent aggressors of Hamas, a number of embezzlers and legal gangs who have seized public property in Iran. Based on their own expectations, they should sit at the top of the leadership position of the Islamic world after 40 years. He and Khomeini had crudely expected that the guardianship revolution would cover all the Arab countries and the region very soon, and that the Islamic revolution would be exported to Egypt, Tunisia, and the countries of the Persian Gulf, and none of these expectations were met. The presence of the Islamic Republic in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon and among the Hazaras has been an abuse of the oppression that has been inflicted on the Shiites in these countries, and Khamenei has been able to gain a place in these countries by use of dollar. For this reason, the plan to issue the Islamic revolution has almost failed, and this itself is a crushing blow to Khamenei and the claimants of the Islamic Revolution. The fact that Khamenei was forced to launch a military attack on Israel by accepting the risk of destroying the only Shia country in the world, is an indication of the precarious situation of the phenomenon called the Islamic Revolution. All the political-military situations of the Islamic Republic inside and outside Iran are very fragile and shaky, and the reason is that these political-military situations do not have a strong economic support.
These political blows from one side, and from the other side, two back-breaking blows fell on Khamenei in recent years, which can be said to have broken his back.
One is the tragic killing of Qassem Soleimani by Trump, after which he appeared in public and cried along with Seyed Ebrahim Raeesi, and the second is the recent incident of the killing of Ebrahim Raeesi, whom Khamenei and the Islamic Revolution have worked hard to train him for 40 years. They were hoping that he could be the captain of the stormy ship of Islamic Iran after Khamenei. The set of these conditions has disabled Khamenei’s political sentiments. But inside, a more terrible blow fell on him, which has stolen sleep from Khamenei’s eyes, and that is the mandatory discarding of the hijab by a significant part of women living in Tehran and big cities. Turbulent Iranian middleclass women together with an employee of Voice of America (Masi Alinjad), a porn actress (Golshifteh Farahani) were able to challenge Khamenei, the 2500-year-old clergy, Bayt and Sepah and remove the hijab. Let’s not forget that these efforts and movements called women, life, freedom, were under the direct support of America, and it is noteworthy that America is the ally of Khamenei’s bloody enemy, Reza Pahlavi.
On the other hand, internally, with the removal of the reformists, the reason for the unity of the fundamentalists also annihilated, and those whose unity was a privative issue, i.e. the removal of the reformists, stood face to face with each other. The bad economic situation, public grievances, daily demonstrations in all cities, all of these have greatly disappointed Khamenei to the extent that he has not taken a direct position as before in implicit support and sending a message to the Basij to vote for a certain candidate. The set of these conditions has disabled Khamenei’s political sentiments.
This time, “Khamenei” could not complete the engineering of the elections to the end.
In every election, its engineering was done first with the arrangement of election candidates, but this one the presence of skilled criminals such as Zakani, Qalibaf, Jalili and Pourmohammadi as candidates meant that the Guardian Council will not be able to create the necessary unity among the fundamentalists. As usual, the total support of the guardianship clergy and the Mullahs of the Beit and the commanders of the IRGC from Qalibaf indicated that Khamenei will also support him and, as before, he will say that his opinion is on Qalibaf. But the presence of someone like Jalili in front of Qalibaf prevented Khamenei from taking the enmity of Mesbahi mullahs and the stability faction and pointing to Qalibaf’s support, although if Khamenei did this as in the past, still again Pezeshkian would come out of the ballot box. It can be said that Khamenei did not risk his reputation and left the work to fate! If Khamenei continues this indecisive procedure, we will soon see that parts of the regime will stand against him and parts of the IRGC forces will be the first to rise. The IRGC, Resistance frontier, parts of the market and traditional strata do not want a hesitant leader, based on the political tradition in Iran, executioner should decapitate in the best way.
The continuation of Khamenei’s doubts will lead to further confusion between fundamentalists.
If Khamenei, due to doubt and loss of his political sentiments, continues to hesitate and play between fundamentalist and reformist, in that case and because there is no political-spiritual personality equal to Khamenei among the fundamentalist front, such the assumed situation can lead to daily weakening of the Islamic Republic and new divisions.
Even if the current situation leads to the power being completely in the hands of the reformers, it should not be prevented as a step forward, the fact is that many parts of our people, especially the middle and prosperous classes, still hope for the reformers and the preservation of the democratic Islamic Republic. Let the people experience this stage and taste the inability of the reformers to solve the problems, and after that it is our turn.
What is our duty?
All the forces that consider Khamenei as the cause of the current wretched situation they believe that the solution is crossing from the Islamic Republic, they should disclose and inform people. By saying that one is as bad as the other, and that the nation has passed the fundamentalist and the reformist, it should not avoid sharpening the conflict between these two trends. The facilities of the reformers should be used for speeches, gatherings, seminars to raise awareness as much as possible inside the country. We should not focus on street demonstrations that are uncontrollable and unite all factions of the regime for repression, instead we should emphasize on strikes, underemployment, sabotage in the work regime of factories, offices, markets. The regime of the Islamic Republic is on the way. From now on, the bright sun of modern, secular and democratic Iran is emerging from behind the mountains of Alborz, Sahand, Sablan and Zagros.
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